TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:00 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the USL Championship game, scheduled for September 26 at 7:00 PM ET.
More markets for the USL Championship game, scheduled for September 26 at 7:00 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. As a result, you might observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities on Polymarket and those found at sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, differing opinions among bettors, and the incentive structures of each venue. It’s useful to compare to see where the 'wisdom of the crowd' diverges from expert analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Indy Eleven vs. Miami FC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to finalize the market and distribute payouts to winning traders. It's important to monitor for updates as the event approaches and the official results are announced.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could prompt traders to reassess their probabilities. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a particular outcome could also drive movement. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and influence the price, especially with increasing volume as the match date nears. Keep an eye on these developments for potential shifts.