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Closed: Sep 26, 8:58 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming USL Championship match between Indy Eleven and Miami on September 26, 2026, this event tracks whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during regular time, including any added stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
If Indy Eleven and Miami both score a goal in the Indy Eleven vs Miami USL Championship match originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals freely buying and selling contracts based on their own beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information or react to unexpected developments than sportsbook odds do.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders can buy 'yes' contracts if they believe both teams will score, or 'no' contracts if they believe at least one team will fail to score. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market's expectation for whether both teams will find the back of the net during the match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Indy Eleven and Miami score at least one goal during the scheduled match time, including any added injury or stoppage time. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any abandoned or postponed matches will be handled according to Kalshi’s market rules.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Indy Eleven or Miami would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected scoring rate. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis suggesting a tactical shift that favors a more defensive approach from either team could shift the market’s perception of the likelihood of both teams scoring. Unexpected lineup announcements could also play a role.