TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 9:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Indy Eleven and Brooklyn FC, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different winning margins in the Indy Eleven vs Brooklyn FC USL Championship soccer match scheduled for September 15, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible: Indy Eleven winning by more than 2.5 goals, Indy Eleven winning by more than 1.5 goals, Brooklyn FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Brooklyn FC winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. The governing body for resolution is the official USL Championship match result, and Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the league or its trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, leading to potentially more efficient pricing. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each source assesses the probability of a particular result. It's often useful to compare both to gain a broader perspective.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current market price indicates what traders believe is the fair value of each possible spread, based on their analysis and predictions for the Indy Eleven vs Brooklyn FC match.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Indy Eleven vs Brooklyn FC match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract's price at the time of resolution. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Indy Eleven or Brooklyn FC could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team form, weather forecasts, or even tactical adjustments announced by the coaches could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also play a role. As the match date approaches, any new information that alters the perceived probability of different spread outcomes is likely to cause movement in this market.