TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 8:11 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Indy Eleven against Birmingham Legion FC encounter scheduled for September 5, 2026, observers will determine if both clubs breach each other's defenses during the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market outcome depends solely on goals scored within this timeframe, with extra time and penalties disregarded.
If Indy Eleven and Birmingham Legion FC both score a goal in the Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion FC USL Championship match originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks often set opening lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by biases or marketing strategies. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows traders to incorporate a wider range of information, including news, injuries, and even subtle factors that sportsbooks might miss. As a result, the price on Kalshi can converge or diverge from sportsbook odds as the event approaches, potentially offering value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Indy Eleven vs Birmingham match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher demand for contracts indicating 'Yes' (both teams score) will drive up the price, while increased selling pressure will lower it.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Indy Eleven and Birmingham Legion FC score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 6, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Indy Eleven or Birmingham Legion FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team formations or tactical adjustments could shift trader sentiment and alter the price of contracts in this market.