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$134.1b

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$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Indianapolis vs New England: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

Indianapolis vs New England: 4th Quarter Spread

Volume:
$5,237

Indianapolis wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Indianapolis wins 4Q by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 10:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Indianapolis wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$322
N/A
N/A
$322
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Indianapolis wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$150
N/A
N/A
$150
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New England wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$815
N/A
N/A
$805
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$784
N/A
N/A
$784
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$784
N/A
N/A
$784
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$784
N/A
N/A
$784
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$784
N/A
N/A
$784
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$650
N/A
N/A
$650
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$164
N/A
N/A
$164
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks the performance gap between two teams specifically in the final quarter of their matchup. It focuses solely on how the score changes during the last quarter, ignoring the earlier parts of the game. The outcome depends entirely on which team manages to outscore the other by a certain margin in that critical final period.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential New England and Indianapolis achieve during the 4th quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for August 13, 2026, with overtime points excluded. Each market has a specific threshold: if New England wins the quarter by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, or 3.5 points, respective 'Yes' outcomes occur; similarly, if Indianapolis wins by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, or 3.5 points, corresponding 'Yes' outcomes apply. Only points scored in the 4th quarter count, and all markets operate independently, allowing multiple to resolve as 'Yes' if thresholds are met. The markets are unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the 4th quarter spread market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $4,589. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood that New England extends its lead by more than 10.5 points in the final quarter, updated in real time as bets are placed.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and offering. The current top outcome shows the market’s collective expectation, with volume of $5,237 indicating liquidity. Prices move based on new information such as player injuries, coaching decisions, or quarter-by-quarter performance metrics that affect the likelihood of a double-digit New England advantage in the fourth quarter.

This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score differential for the fourth quarter will be compared against the 10.5-point threshold to determine whether New England meets or exceeds it, closing the market definitively.

Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries, coaching adjustments, weather conditions affecting the game, or momentum swings in earlier quarters that carry into the final period. Any development that changes the perceived ability of New England to maintain or expand its lead late in the game can cause rapid price adjustments as traders react.