TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 10:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between two teams specifically in the final quarter of their matchup. It focuses solely on how the score changes during the last quarter, ignoring the earlier parts of the game. The outcome depends entirely on which team manages to outscore the other by a certain margin in that critical final period.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential New England and Indianapolis achieve during the 4th quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for August 13, 2026, with overtime points excluded. Each market has a specific threshold: if New England wins the quarter by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, or 3.5 points, respective 'Yes' outcomes occur; similarly, if Indianapolis wins by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, or 3.5 points, corresponding 'Yes' outcomes apply. Only points scored in the 4th quarter count, and all markets operate independently, allowing multiple to resolve as 'Yes' if thresholds are met. The markets are unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and offering. The current top outcome shows the market’s collective expectation, with volume of $5,237 indicating liquidity. Prices move based on new information such as player injuries, coaching decisions, or quarter-by-quarter performance metrics that affect the likelihood of a double-digit New England advantage in the fourth quarter.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score differential for the fourth quarter will be compared against the 10.5-point threshold to determine whether New England meets or exceeds it, closing the market definitively.
Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries, coaching adjustments, weather conditions affecting the game, or momentum swings in earlier quarters that carry into the final period. Any development that changes the perceived ability of New England to maintain or expand its lead late in the game can cause rapid price adjustments as traders react.