TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 9:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for the total points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of a specific football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity that can be achieved in that quarter. The outcomes depend solely on the actual points scored during that specific period of play.
These markets assess whether the combined points scored by Indianapolis and New England during the third quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for August 13, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Each market corresponds to a different threshold, and resolution for all markets depends exclusively on the total points scored during the third quarter of play. No points scored in any other quarter or from any other source contribute to these outcomes. The markets are independent, with each threshold defining a unique Yes/No resolution based on whether the actual third-quarter scoring surpasses that specific level.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may set their odds based on broader public betting trends and analytical models, prediction markets like this one aggregate real-time trader beliefs, often leading to different implied probabilities. The difference can highlight where informed traders diverge from general betting public expectations. For example, if sportsbooks favor a higher scoring quarter, but traders on Kalshi price a lower chance of exceeding the point threshold, it may indicate sharper insights or risk assessments not fully captured by conventional odds.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the third quarter will determine whether the total points scored meet the defined threshold, closing the market definitively after the game concludes.
In the coming weeks, key signals that could shift this market include injury reports for star players, weather forecasts for the game day, and strategic adjustments by coaches that might affect offensive pace. Any shift in team momentum or changes to starting lineups could also influence trader expectations for scoring in the third quarter. As Aug 14, 2026 approaches, real-time updates from pre-game warmups and early in-game scoring trends will likely cause rapid adjustments in trader positioning, especially if the game appears to be trending toward either a high-scoring or low-scoring affair.