TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 8:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the first quarter of an upcoming football game between Indianapolis and New England. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that must be exceeded for the market to resolve positively. The outcomes depend solely on the points accumulated during the initial quarter of play.
The markets assess whether the combined points scored by both Indianapolis and New England in the first quarter of their scheduled game on August 13, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the first quarter, with no impact from subsequent quarters or any other game phases. Each threshold operates independently, meaning the resolution of one market does not affect the others. The governing body's official scoring rules apply, and all outcomes are determined strictly by the final first-quarter point total. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, traders in the 1st quarter total market set odds based on their expectations for scoring in the opening period. Sportsbook lines use different models and may include adjustments for factors like home-field advantage or weather. Prediction market odds often reflect real-time sentiment and can shift quickly as new information emerges, while sportsbook odds are typically more stable but may lag behind rapid changes in public opinion. Both approaches offer unique insights, but they serve different purposes in how they price this market.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants buy and sell contracts based on their outlook for the first-quarter scoring total. The current probability reflects the collective wisdom of all traders on the platform. Volume of $10,885 shows overall interest, while 24-hour volume of $10,885 indicates recent activity spikes. Traders can track price movements and assess market sentiment through the platform’s live charts and order book, which update in real time as bets are placed.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter will be compared against the market’s defined threshold, and the result will be finalized based on official game records and widely accepted sports data sources.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or shifts in team strategies could all impact expectations for first-quarter scoring and move this market. Additionally, high-profile pre-game analysis, betting trends, and any last-minute lineup changes may cause traders to adjust their positions, influencing odds in the days leading up to Aug 14, 2026.