TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 10:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two NFL teams in a specific game, focusing on how many touchdowns each team scores. It allows participants to speculate on whether either team will reach certain scoring milestones. The outcome depends solely on the official game results.
All markets resolve based on the official number of touchdowns scored by either Indianapolis or Kansas City in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold for resolution: Kansas City markets resolve to Yes if they score 2+, 3+, or 4+ touchdowns, while Indianapolis markets resolve to Yes if they score 2+, 3+, or 4+ touchdowns. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and analysis. While both aim to predict the same outcome, differences can emerge due to varying perspectives and the dynamic nature of trading on Kalshi. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a certain number of touchdowns will be scored. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the 'yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and adjusts in real-time based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored by each team will be tallied from official game statistics. The market will then determine if the number of touchdowns scored meets the conditions outlined in the market contract. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, based on publicly available data following the completion of the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Indianapolis or Kansas City would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives or defensive adjustments, will undoubtedly cause fluctuations as traders react to the unfolding events. Any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team strategies could also move this market before Sep 21, 2026.