TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 12:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific players' performance in an upcoming football game between Indianapolis and Kansas City. It focuses on whether selected players achieve a reception longer than a set yardage threshold during the match. The outcome depends purely on in-game play and player statistics.
Each market resolves based on whether the named player records a longest reception exceeding the specified yardage threshold in the designated game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual longest reception recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in evaluation for each participant.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the event. As a result, the odds here may differ from sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the true probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly favors a particular outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official game statistics will be used to determine which player had the longest reception during the Indianapolis versus Kansas City game. The player with the longest reception, as recorded in the official game statistics, will be declared the winner of this market. No further information about the resolution process is available.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers on either team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for a passing game or unfavorable for a particular player’s style, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even expert analysis predicting a change in game dynamics, could all contribute to movement in this market before it resolves.