TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

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Indianapolis vs Kansas City: Player Longest Reception
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What is the result of Indianapolis vs Kansas City?

Volume:
$24,324

Tyquan Thornton: over 13.5 yards

 - Kalshi

Tyquan Thornton: over 13.5 yards - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 21, 12:01 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tyquan Thornton: over 13.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,522
N/A
N/A
$3,082
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rashee Rice: over 20.5 yards

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,920
N/A
N/A
$1,819
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Josh Downs: over 17.5 yards

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$442
N/A
N/A
$330
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alec Pierce: over 22.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,501
N/A
N/A
$4,401
Settled
No
kalshi

Travis Kelce: over 18.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,674
N/A
N/A
$3,375
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Warren: over 16.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,203
N/A
N/A
$3,074
Settled
No
kalshi

Xavier Worthy: over 18.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,062
N/A
N/A
$1,331
Settled
No
kalshi

Noah Gray: over 7.5 yards

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,998
N/A
N/A
$1,943
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks specific players' performance in an upcoming football game between Indianapolis and Kansas City. It focuses on whether selected players achieve a reception longer than a set yardage threshold during the match. The outcome depends purely on in-game play and player statistics.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the named player records a longest reception exceeding the specified yardage threshold in the designated game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual longest reception recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in evaluation for each participant.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL longest reception market tracks the current prices for each player to have the longest reception in the upcoming game between Indianapolis and Kansas City. You can view the implied probabilities, price history, and 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $24,324. The total volume for this market is $24,324. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on how others are pricing the likelihood of different players achieving the longest reception.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the event. As a result, the odds here may differ from sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the true probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly favors a particular outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official game statistics will be used to determine which player had the longest reception during the Indianapolis versus Kansas City game. The player with the longest reception, as recorded in the official game statistics, will be declared the winner of this market. No further information about the resolution process is available.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers on either team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for a passing game or unfavorable for a particular player’s style, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even expert analysis predicting a change in game dynamics, could all contribute to movement in this market before it resolves.