TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 9:15 PM EST
Kalshi
The first quarter's scoring activity is crucial here, with both Indianapolis and Kansas City needing to record points. Starting strong can provide a significant advantage as the game progresses.
If Indianapolis and Kansas City both score points in the 1st quarter of the Indianapolis vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants on Kalshi, and can fluctuate rapidly based on news, injuries, or changes in sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Indianapolis Colts and the Kansas City Chiefs score at least one point during the first quarter of the game. The official game statistics will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and this information will be verified against credible public sources. The final price of the contracts will reflect whether both teams scored in the first quarter or not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Colts or the Chiefs would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting offensive play, could also shift expectations. Unexpected news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also affect trading activity. Finally, significant betting action or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations in this market.