TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 9:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market evaluates the first-half performance in the Indiana vs Toronto women's Pro Basketball game, determining which team scores more points during regulation time. If the points are equal at the end of the first half, the result is a tie.
Markets resolve based on the team scoring the most points in the first half of regulation time. If both teams score equally, all team outcomes resolve to No and the Tie outcome resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days; if the game is canceled or rescheduled beyond this window, markets resolve at a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities based on available information. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event, and discrepancies aren’t uncommon, especially as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the first half winner of the Indiana vs Toronto game will be used to determine the winning contract. The official result will be sourced from widely recognized sports data providers to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100, while losing contracts will expire worthless. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, starting lineups, or changes in team strategy could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-game analysis from respected sports analysts could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.