TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Murray State Racers (W)
Volume:
$16,662
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Indiana State Sycamores and Murray State Racers scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Murray State win and Indiana State win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform issues a correction. The market as written violates basic logic—one team must lose, yet both outcomes claim Yes resolution. Polymarket is the only reliably resolvable venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Indiana State victory resolves to Indiana State Sycamores; Murray State victory resolves to Murray State Racers. Includes standard provisions for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Key Quote: If the Indiana State Sycamores win, the market will resolve to Indiana State Sycamores. If the Murray State Racers win, the market will resolve to Murray State Racers.
- Kalshi: Defective Yes/Yes structure creates logical impossibility. Both Murray State win and Indiana State win are stated to resolve to Yes, violating the law of excluded middle. No No resolution condition is specified. Key Quote: If Murray St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Indiana St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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