TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Belmont Bruins
Volume:
$117,486
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball matchup between Indiana State Sycamores and Belmont Bruins scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline (game winner), two spread variations, and the over/under total points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Belmont win and Indiana State win) resolve identically to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between outcomes. Polymarket moneyline correctly resolves to the specific winner name.Hero Tip:
The Kalshi moneyline is unresolvable as written. Use Polymarket's moneyline as the authoritative winner determination. Spread and Over/Under markets on both platforms use consistent, resolvable logic based on final score thresholds and are safe to trade.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes regardless of outcome. Both Belmont win and Indiana State win trigger Yes resolution, creating a logical impossibility. Quote: If Belmont wins...resolves to Yes. If Indiana St. wins...resolves to Yes.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to the winner's name. Indiana State win resolves to Indiana State Sycamores; Belmont win resolves to Belmont Bruins. Quote: If Indiana State Sycamores win, market will resolve to Indiana State Sycamores. If Belmont Bruins win, market will resolve to Belmont Bruins.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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