This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Indiana Hoosiers and Rutgers Scarlet Knights scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Indiana win and Rutgers win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market incapable of distinguishing between outcomes. This is a data integrity failure that renders the market fundamentally unresolvable.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform corrects the market logic. The Polymarket version is the only logically coherent market in this group. If you hold Kalshi positions, escalate to support immediately for clarification or cancellation.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary winner-take-all structure. Indiana win resolves to 'Indiana Hoosiers', Rutgers win resolves to 'Rutgers Scarlet Knights'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Final score including overtime determines outcome.
Kalshi:
Both Indiana win and Rutgers win resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Rutgers wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Indiana wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical tautology where no outcome can resolve to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
World Cup Winner
Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?17%
2026 NBA Champion
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?63%
English Premier League Winner
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?100%
Finals Series Winner: New York vs San Antonio
Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?63%
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion
Will Logan Stankoven record the most goals in the Stanley Cup Finals® of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?97%
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.