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399,592

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5

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Independiente Santa Fe vs. Millonarios FC
polymarket
kalshi

Independiente Santa Fe vs. Millonarios FC

Volume:
$1,520,674

Independ. Santa Fe

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 3, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 11:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Independ. Santa Fe

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$618,533
N/A
N/A
$224,309
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Independiente Santa Fe

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$152,451
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Millonarios

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$421,576
N/A
N/A
$198,618
Settled
No
polymarket

Millonarios FC

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,658
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$286,111
N/A
N/A
$144,089
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Independiente Santa Fe vs. Millonarios FC)

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Independiente Santa Fe will win their soccer match against Millonarios FC on September 2, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Independiente Santa Fe winning is 100.0%, with Millonarios FC at 0.1%. This aggregate view combines data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the official results reported by https://dimayor.com.co/. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 2, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental outcome inclusion divergence between platformsHero tip: Do not attempt arbitrage between these platforms. Kalshi's market will resolve Yes if any of the three possible outcomes occur, while Polymarket has three separate markets each resolving based on their specific condition

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will Independiente Santa Fe win? Will the match end in a draw? Will Millonarios FC win? Each market resolves independently based on its specific condition
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves to Yes if Independiente Santa Fe wins OR Millonarios FC wins OR the match ends in a draw. Resolves No only if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 2, 2026 between Independiente Santa Fe and Millonarios FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Independ. Santa Fe vs Millonarios professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game scheduled for September 2, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Independ. Santa Fe wins, that specific market resolves to Yes. If Millonarios wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules.