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400,720

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2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Independiente Santa Fe vs. CR Vasco da Gama
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Independiente Santa Fe vs CR Vasco da Gama?

Volume:
$1,153,850

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 8:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$262,326
N/A
N/A
$140,779
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Independiente Santa Fe vs. CR Vasco da Gama)

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30,813
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Independ. Santa Fe

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$366,228
N/A
N/A
$206,023
Settled
No
polymarket

Independiente Santa Fe

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$129,378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Vasco da Gama

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$323,156
N/A
N/A
$204,375
Settled
No
polymarket

CR Vasco da Gama

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,950
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the Independiente Santa Fe versus CR Vasco da Gama soccer match. Currently, the aggregated probability of a draw across Polymarket and Kalshi is 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official results reported on https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 8, 2026, as the outcome will be known immediately following the final whistle.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a ternary market structure while Polymarket uses three separate binary markets, creating divergent payout logic for match completion vs specific outcomesHero tip: Kalshi market resolves Yes for any match completion (win/draw/loss). Polymarket markets require exact outcome matches. Focus Polymarket trading on specific outcome probabilities and Kalshi on match completion certainty.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will Independiente Santa Fe win? Will the match end in a draw? Will CR Vasco da Gama win? Each resolves Yes/No based on exact outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Canceled games resolve No for win markets and Yes for draw market.
  • Kalshi: Single ternary market: If Independiente Santa Fe wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time OR if CR Vasco da Gama wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time OR if the match ties after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves Yes. Effectively pays out for any completed match regardless of specific outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for Tuesday, September 8, 2026 between Independiente Santa Fe and CR Vasco da Gama.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Independ. Santa Fe vs Vasco da Gama professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game scheduled for September 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Independ. Santa Fe wins, the 'Independ. Santa Fe' market resolves to Yes. If Vasco da Gama wins, the 'Vasco da Gama' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers the result from the standard match duration and does not account for any post-match tie-breaking procedures.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks the Copa Libertadores qualifier race, aggregating real-time data from multiple platforms. It shows how traders across venues price the likelihood of different outcomes, offering a consensus view of market sentiment. With volume of $1,153,850 and 24-hour volume of $1,003,464, it reflects overall interest and shifts in expectations for this high-stakes match.