TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 12:40 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Independiente Santa Fe and Caracas FC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Independiente Santa Fe" if Independiente Santa Fe score more goals than Caracas FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Independiente Santa Fe and Caracas FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Caracas FC" if Caracas FC score more goals than Independiente Santa Fe in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Independiente Santa Fe and Caracas FC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Independiente Santa Fe" if Independiente Santa Fe score more goals than Caracas FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Independiente Santa Fe and Caracas FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Caracas FC" if Caracas FC score more goals than Independiente Santa Fe in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets price outcomes based on trader belief and real-money commitment. In this market, the odds you see represent aggregated trader conviction rather than a bookmaker's calculated spread. Prediction markets can sometimes lead sportsbooks when new information surfaces, or lag if the trader pool is smaller or less informed. Comparing the two can reveal where professional and amateur opinion diverge on the second half outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that allows traders to buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of capital allocated to each side; as traders buy shares of one outcome, the price of that outcome rises and the alternative falls. You can enter or exit your position at any time before Jul 24, 2026, and your entry price depends on the cumulative trades ahead of you. The mechanism incentivizes accurate pricing because traders profit by predicting correctly and lose capital if they misjudge the second half result.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can shift odds significantly, especially if a key player is ruled out before kickoff. First-half performance is a major catalyst; if one team dominates the opening 45 minutes, traders may reprice the second half outcome based on momentum and fatigue patterns. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and recent form updates can also influence trader positioning. Betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market may signal information asymmetry and trigger rapid repricing. As the match approaches, real-time events like early goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments will drive volatility in this market.