TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC - More Markets
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC?

Volume:
$141,043

Goal Diff Reg Time: Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 1.5 goals

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 23, 10:27 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Goal Diff Reg Time: Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$51,866
N/A
N/A
$21,246
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,040
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,174
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,608
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Independiente Santa Fe O/U 1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$609
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Independiente Santa Fe 1st Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2nd Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Independiente Santa Fe O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Independiente Santa Fe 2nd Half O/U 0.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Goal Diff Reg Time: Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,428
N/A
N/A
$7,402
Settled
No
polymarket

Independiente Santa Fe (-2.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,580
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Goal Diff Reg Time: Caracas wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,569
N/A
N/A
$3,475
Settled
No
polymarket

Caracas FC (-1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,018
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Caracas FC (-2.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Goal Diff Reg Time: Caracas wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
$427
Settled
No
kalshi

Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,364
N/A
N/A
$1,063
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$762
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Independiente Santa Fe O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$627
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Caracas FC 1st Half O/U 0.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This event group covers a Copa Sudamericana match between Independiente Santa Fe and Caracas FC scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets span spread bets (goal-margin outcomes), over/under totals (combined and individual team goals), both-teams-to-score, and half-specific variants across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: official CONMEBOL final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open), cancellations (50-50), and source hierarchy (CONMEBOL primary, credible consensus secondary if delayed).Primary resolution logic: CONMEBOL official final score (conmebol.com); secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Spread markets (Santa Fe -1.5, -2.5; Caracas -1.5, -2.5): resolve YES if named team wins by stated margin or greater; otherwise NO
  • Over/Under totals (combined 0.5–5.5, first-half 0.5–2.5, second-half 0.5–2.5): resolve OVER if combined or team-specific goals meet or exceed threshold; otherwise UNDER
  • Both-Teams-to-Score (full match, first half, second half): resolve YES if both teams score at least 1 goal in specified period; otherwise NO
  • Individual team Over/Under (Santa Fe 0.5–2.5, Caracas 0.5–2.5, full and half-specific): resolve OVER if named team scores at or above threshold; otherwise UNDER
  • Scope: all markets measure only 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts excluded

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed. No interim settlement occurs.
  • Complete Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets in the group resolve 50-50 (split pool equally between YES and NO outcomes).
  • Match Started But Not Completed: Markets resolve according to the official final score as published by CONMEBOL, treating the incomplete match as the final result for resolution purposes.
  • Delayed Official Publication: If CONMEBOL does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used as the resolution basis.
  • Post-Resolution Score Revision: Any official score revision made after market resolution is not recognized; the score at resolution time stands.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). CONMEBOL official score publication is the trigger; if delayed beyond 2 hours, credible consensus triggers resolution. Markets remain open during postponements and resolve 50-50 only if the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for July 23 at 8:30 PM ET.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the final goal differential in the Independ. Santa Fe vs Caracas professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for July 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Outcomes resolve to Yes if Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 2.5 goals, Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 1.5 goals, Caracas wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Caracas wins by more than 2.5 goals, depending on the actual final score differential.

Frequently asked questions

The Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC match dashboard aggregates prediction market contracts across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting traders speculate on multiple outcomes tied to this fixture. Beyond the final result, these venues offer granular markets covering second-half scoring, goal differentials, and other in-match dynamics. The dashboard consolidates these separate contracts into one view, making it easy to compare how each platform prices different scenarios. Current trading activity reflects diverse trader expectations about how the match will unfold.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on continuous trader participation to establish prices. This market's odds reflect real-time consensus among participants rather than a bookmaker's margin. Over time, prediction market prices often converge toward actual probabilities, especially as event time approaches and new information emerges. Comparing this market to major sportsbooks can reveal where traders and bookmakers diverge in their assessment.

Team news, injury updates, and lineup announcements typically shift odds as match time approaches. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any roster changes can trigger repricing across both platforms. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence trader sentiment, particularly for markets focused on goal totals or second-half scoring. As kickoff nears, late-breaking tactical information or betting syndicate activity often accelerates price movement. Monitor both platforms for diverging signals, as sharp traders may spot value before consensus catches up.