TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 10:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers a Copa Sudamericana match between Independiente Santa Fe and Caracas FC scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets span spread bets (goal-margin outcomes), over/under totals (combined and individual team goals), both-teams-to-score, and half-specific variants across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
More markets for the Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for July 23 at 8:30 PM ET.
Resolution is determined by the final goal differential in the Independ. Santa Fe vs Caracas professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for July 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Outcomes resolve to Yes if Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 2.5 goals, Independ. Santa Fe wins by more than 1.5 goals, Caracas wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Caracas wins by more than 2.5 goals, depending on the actual final score differential.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on continuous trader participation to establish prices. This market's odds reflect real-time consensus among participants rather than a bookmaker's margin. Over time, prediction market prices often converge toward actual probabilities, especially as event time approaches and new information emerges. Comparing this market to major sportsbooks can reveal where traders and bookmakers diverge in their assessment.
Team news, injury updates, and lineup announcements typically shift odds as match time approaches. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any roster changes can trigger repricing across both platforms. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence trader sentiment, particularly for markets focused on goal totals or second-half scoring. As kickoff nears, late-breaking tactical information or betting syndicate activity often accelerates price movement. Monitor both platforms for diverging signals, as sharp traders may spot value before consensus catches up.