TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 12:42 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Independiente Santa Fe and Caracas FC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Independiente Santa Fe" if Independiente Santa Fe are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Caracas FC" if Caracas FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Independiente Santa Fe and Caracas FC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Independiente Santa Fe" if Independiente Santa Fe are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Caracas FC" if Caracas FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than fixed odds set by oddsmakers. On Polymarket, prices adjust continuously as new money flows in, making them responsive to breaking news, team updates, and live betting sentiment. Sportsbooks typically adjust less frequently and build in larger margins. For this matchup, comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook offerings can reveal whether the market is pricing the outcome more bullishly or bearishly than the betting industry consensus.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is represented as a separate contract, and the price of each reflects the cumulative belief of all participants. As traders buy or sell shares, the price adjusts algorithmically to balance supply and demand, ensuring the market remains liquid and responsive to new information throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal—or whether neither team scores at all. Resolution occurs after the final whistle and official confirmation, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning positions.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star forwards, lineup announcements, or tactical changes that affect offensive capability. Recent form, head-to-head records, and venue conditions can shift trader positioning significantly. Weather forecasts, referee assignments, and late-breaking roster updates may also influence how traders assess the likelihood of an early goal. As match day approaches, any official confirmation of starting lineups typically triggers notable repricing across this market.