TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 12:40 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Independiente Santa Fe and Caracas FC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Independiente Santa Fe and Caracas FC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC match originally scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly through price discovery. On this market, the odds you see represent what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, rather than a bookmaker's calculated spread. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient at incorporating late-breaking information—injuries, weather, team news—because traders profit immediately from accurate forecasts. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where public perception differs and highlight potential value opportunities before the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability quotes for each exact scoreline. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy shares in outcomes they believe will occur; as more capital flows into a particular scoreline, its price rises and its implied probability increases. The top outcome currently reflects strong trader conviction. You can enter or exit positions at any time before Jul 24, 2026, and your trade executes at the current market price. Spreads between bid and ask prices tighten as volume increases, making it cheaper to trade popular outcomes.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, once the match between Independiente Santa Fe and Caracas FC concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals each team scores during regular time. All open positions settle based on the confirmed final score, with traders holding shares in the correct scoreline receiving their payout. Early resolution is possible if the match is officially abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window, though standard completion triggers settlement as scheduled.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that affect perceived match strength. Recent form, head-to-head history, and travel conditions can shift trader expectations significantly. Weather forecasts closer to match day may influence scoring patterns, particularly if heavy rain or extreme heat is predicted. Breaking news about player availability or tactical shifts often triggers sharp price moves as traders reassess probabilities. Social media sentiment and expert analysis can also sway the crowd, especially if respected analysts publish contrarian views. Monitor official team communications and sports news outlets in the days leading up to the fixture for developments that could reshape odds.