TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 10:12 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Independiente Medellín and CR Vasco da Gama, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Independiente Medellín" if Independiente Medellín score more goals than CR Vasco da Gama in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Independiente Medellín and CR Vasco da Gama score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CR Vasco da Gama" if CR Vasco da Gama score more goals than Independiente Medellín in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Independiente Medellín and CR Vasco da Gama, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Independiente Medellín" if Independiente Medellín score more goals than CR Vasco da Gama in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Independiente Medellín and CR Vasco da Gama score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CR Vasco da Gama" if CR Vasco da Gama score more goals than Independiente Medellín in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability, while this market aggregates decentralized participant beliefs. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment on the second half outcome differs from professional oddsmakers' assessments, though both respond to team news, injuries, and pre-match momentum.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the balance of capital deployed on each side. As more traders enter, the price adjusts algorithmically, ensuring continuous liquidity and a transparent, real-time consensus estimate of the second half result.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the match concludes and the second half result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded during the second half only, independent of the first half. Resolution occurs after sufficient confirmation from established sports data sources, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning positions.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury reports on star players, and recent form leading into the match. Pre-game commentary from analysts and betting syndicates can shift trader positioning significantly. During the match itself, early second half goals, red cards, or tactical shifts will drive rapid repricing as the outcome becomes clearer. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence expectations before kickoff.