TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama?

Volume:
$527,536

Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored

 - Kalshi

Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 7:57 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$99,453
N/A
N/A
$39,484
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$86,440
N/A
N/A
$37,389
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$49,332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,272
N/A
N/A
$13,762
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Over 0.5 goals scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,294
N/A
N/A
$4,814
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Independiente Medellín

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CR Vasco da Gama

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Over 4.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,972
N/A
N/A
$26,474
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Over 5.5 goals scored

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,307
N/A
N/A
$19,541
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group covers a professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer match between Independiente Medellín and CR Vasco da Gama scheduled for July 22, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss) and total goals scored, with resolution based on official 90-minute play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the same match, date, time scope (90 minutes plus stoppage), and primary resolution source (official CONMEBOL statistics with credible reporting fallback).Primary resolution logic: CONMEBOL official statistics and event organizers; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours post-match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome (Medellin win, draw, Vasco da Gama win) resolves based on goals scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Total goals markets (over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5) resolve Yes if the specified threshold is exceeded; resolve No otherwise.
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If match is canceled with no makeup game: outcome markets (win/loss) resolve No; draw market resolves Yes; goals markets resolve based on final official score if the match was played.
  • Extra time and penalties are excluded from all market resolutions.
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for in determining outcome.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed; no early settlement occurs.
  • Match Cancellation (No Makeup): Outcome markets (Medellin win, Vasco da Gama win) resolve No. Draw market resolves Yes. Goals markets resolve based on the final official score if the match was played; if no match occurred, goals markets resolve No.
  • Official Score Revision Post-Settlement: Any revisions to the officially declared final score made after market resolution are not accounted for; the resolution stands as originally settled.
  • Source Availability Delay: If CONMEBOL official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus is used as the fallback resolution source.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official CONMEBOL statistics are the primary source; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus is applied. Markets settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, 2026 between Independiente Medellín and CR Vasco da Gama.

Kalshi

The total goals market for the Ind. Medellin vs Vasco da Gama professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 measures the combined goals scored by both teams during 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout. Separate outcomes resolve to Yes if the total exceeds 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals respectively. Each threshold is evaluated independently based on the final regulation-time score.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Independiente Medellín vs. Vasco da Gama match. Traders on both platforms are pricing outcomes related to match results and goal totals, allowing you to monitor consensus views and spot pricing divergences in real time. The combined volume across venues reflects active interest in how this Copa Libertadores fixture will unfold, giving you a comprehensive snapshot of where the prediction market stands ahead of kickoff.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate on distinct mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets let traders themselves determine prices through supply and demand. This often means prediction market odds reflect crowd sentiment more directly, though sportsbook odds may incorporate sharper professional input. For this match, comparing the two can reveal whether casual traders or professional bettors view the outcome differently, making both sources valuable for informed decision-making.

Team news, injuries to key players, and recent form shifts can all trigger significant price swings. Lineup announcements closer to kickoff often spark volatility, as traders reassess win probabilities and goal expectations. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking tactical changes may also influence sentiment. Additionally, sharp money entering either platform can move odds quickly, signaling professional conviction. Monitoring social media, team statements, and betting flow across both venues will help you anticipate moves and time your trades strategically before the final whistle.