TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$216,099,358

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,189,677,720

500,754

Markets across

13,672

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,801

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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polymarket
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Independiente Medellín vs. CDP Junior FC

Volume:
$185,579
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
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Description

This event group covers a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between Independiente Medellín and CDP Junior FC scheduled for March 19, 2026. Markets are offered on Kalshi and Polymarket, with separate binary outcomes for each team's victory and draw results, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular time only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms measure the same event (Independiente Medellín vs CDP Junior FC on 2026-03-19) using identical time windows (90 minutes plus stoppage time, regular time only) and the same primary resolution source (official DIMAYOR statistics).

Primary resolution logic:

Official statistics from DIMAYOR (Colombian Liga DIMAYOR governing body) as recognized by the event organizers; secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded from resolution
  • Independiente Medellín win resolves Yes on Polymarket win market and Kalshi market; resolves No on Polymarket draw and Junior win markets
  • CDP Junior FC win resolves Yes on Polymarket win market and Kalshi market; resolves No on Polymarket draw and Medellín win markets
  • Draw (tie) resolves Yes on Polymarket draw market and Kalshi market; resolves No on Polymarket individual team win markets
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed and official result is published
  • If match is canceled with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes (no winner occurred); Polymarket win markets resolve No (neither team won); Kalshi market structure treats cancellation as a non-event

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes and official statistics are published.
  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes (interpreting no match as no winner); Polymarket's team win markets resolve No (neither team achieved victory). Kalshi's inclusive structure avoids this ambiguity.
  • Official Statistics Delay: If DIMAYOR does not publish official final match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting from established sports news sources.
  • Extra Time or Penalties: If the match proceeds to extra time or penalty kicks (e.g., in a knockout stage), only the 90-minute plus stoppage time result is used for resolution; extra time and penalty outcomes are excluded.

Timing:

Resolution occurs after the match concludes on March 19, 2026, and official statistics are published by DIMAYOR (or within 2 hours thereafter if credible reporting consensus is required). Markets remain open if the match is postponed until the rescheduled match is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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