TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:27 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Independiente Medellín and AD Pasto, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Independiente Medellín" if Independiente Medellín are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AD Pasto" if AD Pasto are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Independiente Medellín and AD Pasto, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Independiente Medellín" if Independiente Medellín are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AD Pasto" if AD Pasto are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. On Polymarket, traders stake real capital on outcomes, creating prices driven by collective belief rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks, by contrast, adjust lines to balance liability and extract a built-in edge. For this market, comparing Polymarket prices to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the crowd is pricing the match differently than professional oddsmakers, potentially signaling value or consensus shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost of each share fluctuates based on the ratio of capital allocated to competing outcomes, creating a continuous price discovery process. As traders adjust their positions ahead of the match, the implied probability of each team scoring first updates in real time, allowing participants to enter or exit at any moment before the event concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the match between Independiente Medellín and AD Pasto concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources documenting which team scored first. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution occurs shortly after the match ends and official records are available.
Team news—injuries to key strikers, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter scoring probabilities. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignments, and pre-match momentum swings may prompt last-minute repricing. As Jul 25, 2026 approaches, late-breaking developments such as player suspensions or unexpected roster updates often trigger sharp moves in this market, reflecting traders' reassessment of each team's offensive capability.