TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 11:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Independiente Medellín and AD Cali, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Independiente Medellín" if Independiente Medellín are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AD Cali" if AD Cali are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Independiente Medellín and AD Cali, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Independiente Medellín" if Independiente Medellín are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AD Cali" if AD Cali are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. On prediction markets like Polymarket, traders stake real capital on outcomes, creating prices driven by collective belief rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks, by contrast, adjust odds to balance liability and extract a built-in edge. For this matchup, comparing the implied probability on this market to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether one venue perceives an edge—though prediction markets tend to aggregate information efficiently over time, especially as the event draws closer.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative trading activity and current order flow, with odds adjusting dynamically as volume shifts. Traders profit by correctly predicting which team will score first, with payouts determined by the final market price at resolution.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal scorer is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public reporting of the match result. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records and the platform's verification process.
Several factors can shift odds before Aug 1, 2026. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—often triggers sharp moves, particularly if a key striker or defender is ruled out. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form can also influence trader positioning. Betting syndicates or sharp money flowing into one side may signal confidence and move the line significantly. Social media sentiment and analyst commentary can sway casual traders, while late-breaking tactical announcements or pre-match press conferences sometimes spark repricing. Volume spikes often accompany these catalysts, reflecting heightened conviction among participants.