TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Independiente del Valle vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Volume:
$302,056
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Independiente del Valle will face Universidad Central de Venezuela FC on April 15, 2026, in a Copa Libertadores match. The prediction markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: an Independiente del Valle victory, a Universidad Central de Venezuela FC victory, or a draw. All markets evaluate only the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets (Independiente del Valle win, Universidad Central de Venezuela FC win, draw), while Kalshi presents three separate YES/NO markets that all resolve YES simultaneously for any outcome, creating a logical contradiction where all three Kalshi markets cannot coexist as independent betting instruments.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they are logically incoherent. On Kalshi, all three outcomes (Ind. del Valle win, UCV win, Tie) cannot simultaneously resolve YES after a single match. Polymarket's three mutually exclusive markets are the only coherent structure; use those for settlement confidence.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the 90-minute match outcome. Resolves on official CONMEBOL Libertadores statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. 'If Independiente del Valle wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Outlier: Presents three separate YES/NO markets that each independently resolve YES for their respective outcome (Ind. del Valle win, UCV win, or Tie), but a single match produces only one outcome, making it impossible for all three markets to resolve YES simultaneously. 'If Ind. del Valle wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If UCV wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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