TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether CR Flamengo or Independiente del Valle will win their CONMEBOL Libertadores match on September 10, 2026, or if the game will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of CR Flamengo winning is 100.0%, while Independiente del Valle has a 0.1% probability. This aggregated view combines data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on Official CONMEBOL Libertadores statistics (conmebollibertadores.com), with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 10, 2026, to see which team secures the victory.
This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Thursday, September 10, 2026 between Independiente del Valle and CR Flamengo.
The event resolves based on the result of the Ind. del Valle vs Flamengo professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game scheduled for Sep 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Ind. del Valle win, Flamengo win, or a tie. A market resolves to Yes if its specified condition is met—Ind. del Valle or Flamengo winning in regulation, or the game ending in a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, excluding extra time or penalties.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to differing interpretations of the same information. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform – currently $2,247,643 overall – can influence price discovery. These differences are normal and reflect the independent nature of each market, providing a broader view of expectations for the Copa Libertadores final. It is important to consider these factors when analyzing the probabilities offered on each platform.