TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Independiente del Valle vs. CR Flamengo
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Independiente del Valle vs. CR Flamengo?

Volume:
$2,247,643

Flamengo

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 10, 10:34 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Flamengo

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$925,938
N/A
N/A
$400,718
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CR Flamengo

100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$285,305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ind. del Valle

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$559,503
N/A
N/A
$382,616
Settled
No
polymarket

Independiente del Valle

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$180,181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$273,870
N/A
N/A
$159,354
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Independiente del Valle vs. CR Flamengo)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether CR Flamengo or Independiente del Valle will win their CONMEBOL Libertadores match on September 10, 2026, or if the game will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of CR Flamengo winning is 100.0%, while Independiente del Valle has a 0.1% probability. This aggregated view combines data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on Official CONMEBOL Libertadores statistics (conmebollibertadores.com), with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 10, 2026, to see which team secures the victory.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets consistently define resolution based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.Primary resolution logic: Official CONMEBOL Libertadores statistics (conmebollibertadores.com), with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • A win for Independiente del Valle resolves 'Yes' on the Independiente del Valle win market.
  • A win for CR Flamengo resolves 'Yes' on the CR Flamengo win market.
  • A draw resolves 'Yes' on the draw market.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the Independiente del Valle and CR Flamengo win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Discrepancies: Resolution will prioritize official CONMEBOL statistics. If unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used, then Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 2 hours of the match's conclusion if official statistics are delayed, utilizing the tiered fallback sources if necessary.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Thursday, September 10, 2026 between Independiente del Valle and CR Flamengo.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Ind. del Valle vs Flamengo professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game scheduled for Sep 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Ind. del Valle win, Flamengo win, or a tie. A market resolves to Yes if its specified condition is met—Ind. del Valle or Flamengo winning in regulation, or the game ending in a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, excluding extra time or penalties.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome, leading to odds that can be more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. The current volume of $2,247,643 suggests active trading and evolving probabilities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to differing interpretations of the same information. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform – currently $2,247,643 overall – can influence price discovery. These differences are normal and reflect the independent nature of each market, providing a broader view of expectations for the Copa Libertadores final. It is important to consider these factors when analyzing the probabilities offered on each platform.