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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

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MATCHED EVENTS:

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Independiente Avellaneda vs Newell's Old Boys: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Independiente Avellaneda vs Newell's Old Boys?

Volume:
$29,547

Independiente Avellaneda wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Independiente Avellaneda wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 31, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 10:12 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Independiente Avellaneda wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,268
N/A
N/A
$9,884
Settled
No
kalshi

Independiente Avellaneda wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,254
N/A
N/A
$3,822
Settled
No
kalshi

Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,849
N/A
N/A
$3,779
Settled
No
kalshi

Newell's Old Boys wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,176
N/A
N/A
$1,165
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event analyzes the spread betting for the Independiente Avellaneda vs Newell's Old Boys game, looking at the exact goal differential that determines the winner's dominance level. It offers insight into potential lopsided outcomes in this matchup.

Kalshi

The event assesses victory margins for both Independiente Avellaneda and Newell's Old Boys in their Argentina Primera Division match scheduled for Jul 30, 2026. Two thresholds apply to each team: Independiente Avellaneda must win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, and Newell's Old Boys must win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The outcome is determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded. If a team meets or exceeds its specified margin, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The standard disclaimer confirms Kalshi's lack of official governing league affiliation, and trademarks remain with their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a blend of sharp and public money, sometimes showing tighter spreads or different favorites than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks may incorporate house edges or public bias, prediction markets let traders bet directly on their expectations of the point spread, potentially offering alternative insights or value.

This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread recorded officially after the match concludes will determine which side of this market is settled as the winner.

Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting pitch quality, and tactical changes by coaches can all shift expectations for the margin of victory, moving this market. Media analysis and pre-match betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. As Jul 31, 2026 approaches, any last-minute lineup announcements or historical performance data could cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi.