TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ind. Medellin vs Jaguares
kalshi

Ind. Medellin vs Jaguares

Volume:
$1,157,027

Ind. Medellin

 - Kalshi

Ind. Medellin - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 23, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 9:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ind. Medellin

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$439,597
N/A
N/A
$233,513
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jaguares

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$434,628
N/A
N/A
$254,777
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$282,803
N/A
N/A
$154,799
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Ind. Medellin will win their professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game against Jaguares. Currently, Kalshi gives Ind. Medellin a 59.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 31.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the match originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official league results. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on September 22, 2026, as that will begin the timeframe for determining the outcome of this market.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match scheduled for September 22, 2026, between Ind. Medellin and Jaguares. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the respective team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; any outcome beyond regulation time, such as extra time or penalties, does not affect the resolution. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, a separate 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will be resolved at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, with no affiliation to the governing league or its branding.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the intention of balancing action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information or changing circumstances than sportsbooks, resulting in different probabilities for the same event.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, with larger volumes generally leading to more stable and accurate probabilities. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Colombian football match between Ind. Medellin and Jaguares, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches and ensure they understand the resolution process.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches that affect team standings or motivation could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and move the odds. Monitoring sports news and analyzing team performance metrics will be crucial for understanding potential market movements leading up to Sep 23, 2026.