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473,242

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IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of IND Colts vs WAS Commanders?

Volume:
$8,778,755

IND Colts wins by over 4.5 points

 - Kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 4.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 12:43 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 4.5 points

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,953,669
N/A
N/A
$1,260,505
Settled
Yes
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$739,580
N/A
N/A
$560,356
Settled
Yes
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 5.5 points

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$603,458
N/A
N/A
$422,235
Settled
Yes
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$600,703
N/A
N/A
$328,152
Settled
Yes
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$558,041
N/A
N/A
$307,166
Settled
Yes
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 16.5 points

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$549,667
N/A
N/A
$239,464
Settled
Yes
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 7.5 points

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$519,071
N/A
N/A
$301,700
Settled
Yes
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 10.5 points

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$500,593
N/A
N/A
$255,878
Settled
Yes
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$481,812
N/A
N/A
$250,391
Settled
Yes
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 9.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$389,201
N/A
N/A
$223,212
Settled
Yes
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 14.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$325,183
N/A
N/A
$209,169
Settled
Yes
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 13.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$240,510
N/A
N/A
$116,548
Settled
Yes
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$243,953
N/A
N/A
$120,770
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$187,768
N/A
N/A
$99,460
Settled
No
kalshi

IND Colts wins by over 20.5 points

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$153,096
N/A
N/A
$74,796
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$129,849
N/A
N/A
$93,109
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$109,529
N/A
N/A
$78,133
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$88,189
N/A
N/A
$82,433
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$86,788
N/A
N/A
$53,237
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$86,232
N/A
N/A
$58,646
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$71,957
N/A
N/A
$66,124
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50,535
N/A
N/A
$40,277
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,917
N/A
N/A
$42,582
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,833
N/A
N/A
$20,176
Settled
No
kalshi

WAS Commanders wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,636
N/A
N/A
$10,790
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Intro

This market asks whether the Indianapolis Colts will win by more than 1.5 points against the Washington Commanders. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 97.0%. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the IND Colts vs WAS Commanders Pro Football game, specifically if the Commanders win by more than 6.5 points. Keep a close watch on the game itself, scheduled for October 4, 2026, as the final result will determine the market’s outcome.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the point differential from the Indiana Colts versus Washington Commanders professional football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each individual market has a specific point threshold: if the Colts win by exceeding the stated margin, that market resolves to Yes; if the Commanders win by exceeding their stated margin, that respective market resolves to Yes. If neither team meets their corresponding threshold, the market resolves to No. The markets collectively span a range of outcomes from a Colts victory by just over 1.5 points up to a Commanders victory by over 14.5 points, providing granular coverage of possible score differences. All secondary disclaimers clarify that the platform has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see this market incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true probability of an outcome. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, providing a useful point of comparison.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the group. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders believe is a fair price to pay for a contract that will pay out if the specified outcome occurs. The market depth shows the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels, revealing potential support and resistance points.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread will be determined by official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. The resolution will reflect whether the Indianapolis Colts win or lose by a margin greater than the spread established in this market. Traders will then be paid out or have their funds returned based on whether their predictions aligned with the final result.

Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Colts or Commanders would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts, or even unexpected team performance in preceding games could also shift trader sentiment. Public perception, influenced by sports analysts and media coverage, can also play a role. Unexpected large volume trades on Kalshi could also signal informed activity and move the market, as could any significant updates to the spread offered by major sportsbooks.