TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 10:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both the Indianapolis Colts and the Kansas City Chiefs during the second quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
These markets evaluate whether the combined points scored by the Indianapolis Colts and Kansas City Chiefs during the second quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. All markets exclusively consider points scored within the second quarter of play, with no points from other quarters contributing to the outcome. Each market has a unique threshold, and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if the total second-quarter points surpass that specific threshold. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed traders. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark for comparison. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Colts-Chiefs matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 2nd quarter total. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. A higher price indicates a greater perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded, and inaccurate ones are penalized. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants, offering a unique perspective on the potential outcome of the Colts-Chiefs game.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Colts versus Chiefs game will be used to determine the result. The market will settle to 100 if the actual 2nd quarter total equals the market’s implied outcome, and to 0 if it does not. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Colts or Chiefs would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Furthermore, in-game events during the first quarter, such as a dominant offensive performance by one team or a key turnover, could lead to substantial price movements. Public sentiment and late-breaking analysis could also play a role in shaping trader expectations for the Colts-Chiefs 2nd quarter total.