TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:56 AM EST
Kalshi
The match between Incheon Utd and Daejeon Citizen will determine if either team wins by a specified margin of goals. The outcome depends solely on the difference in goals scored between the two teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the margin of victory in the Incheon Utd vs Daejeon Citizen professional Korea K League 1 soccer game scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from consideration. The first two markets require Incheon Utd to win by more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals, respectively. The latter two markets require Daejeon Citizen to win by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals, respectively. If the condition for a specific market is met, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective beliefs of many traders. As more information becomes available and opinions evolve, the prices here may converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially when accounting for the vigorish or juice charged by the books.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the result. The current price indicates what traders believe is the fair value of the spread, based on all available information and their own analysis.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the actual point difference between the two teams at the end of the match. The resolution will be based on official results published by the K League 1, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their predictions aligned with the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions or tactical adjustments announced by the coaches could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public opinion could cause the price to move. Monitoring these signals can help traders make more informed decisions.