TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Incarnate Word vs. Texas State
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Incarnate Word vs. Texas State?

Volume:
$281,865

Texas St.

 - Kalshi

Texas St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 9:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Texas St.

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$65,726
N/A
N/A
$61,829
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 63.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$831
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$792
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 65.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$752
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 67.5

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 61.5

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 71.5

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Incarnate Word

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$201,781
N/A
N/A
$182,016
Settled
No
polymarket

Incarnate Word vs. Texas State

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,741
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 75.5

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Incarnate Word O/U 20.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 173

Description

This group covers various markets related to the college football game between Incarnate Word and Texas State, scheduled for September 26th. Markets include the winner of the game, point spreads, and over/under totals for points scored by both teams and in different game segments.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Significant divergence in market types and resolution criteria. Kalshi focuses on a simple win/loss outcome, while Polymarket offers a comprehensive suite of markets.Hero tip: Focus your analysis on the specific market you are trading and understand the unique resolution criteria for each platform. Kalshi is a simple win/loss, Polymarket has many more options.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Offers only a binary market resolving to 'Yes' if either team wins. The logic is flawed as it resolves to 'Yes' for both teams winning.
  • Polymarket: Provides a variety of markets including winner, spreads, and over/unders, with detailed rules for postponements, cancellations, and tie games. Resolution is based on official game results.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Incarnate Word and Texas State, scheduled for September 26 at 6:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Incarnate Word" if Incarnate Word win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas State" if Texas State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game originally scheduled for September 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can sometimes lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information or viewpoints not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. It's valuable to compare both to gain a more well-rounded understanding.

Differences in prices between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Incarnate Word vs. Texas State game can arise from several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, which influences trading behavior. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on each platform can impact pricing. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility and divergence from the other. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing observed across different prediction markets.