TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in a college football game, with each market having a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'. The outcome depends solely on the final score of the game, regardless of any delays or changes to the original schedule within a specified timeframe.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score of both teams exceeds a specified threshold, ranging from 40.5 to 82.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final score. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. All markets are independent, with each threshold representing a separate condition for resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks initially set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust their expectations based on new information and analysis. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a broader understanding of the anticipated outcome and potentially identify value in either market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals for the Incarnate Word vs Texas St. game. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that specific total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants. The current price indicates what it costs to take a position on a particular outcome, and changes in price signal shifts in market sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point total of the Incarnate Word vs Texas St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total points scored will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect totals will not. The precise timing of resolution depends on the official release of game results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Incarnate Word or Texas St. teams would likely cause movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift expectations. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations as traders react to the changing dynamics.