TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Incarnate Word Cardinals and Northwestern State Demons scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Incarnate Word win and Northwestern State win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the resolution criteria are corrected. The market cannot distinguish between the two teams' outcomes. Use Polymarket as the reliable source for this event, which has clear binary resolution logic and proper edge case handling.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Clean binary resolution: Incarnate Word win resolves to 'Incarnate Word Cardinals', Northwestern State win resolves to 'Northwestern State Demons'. Includes postponement (market stays open) and full cancellation (50-50 split) contingencies. Key quote: 'If the Incarnate Word Cardinals win, the market will resolve to Incarnate Word Cardinals. If the Northwestern State Demons win, the market will resolve to Northwestern State Demons.'Kalshi:
Logical contradiction: Both outcomes map to Yes. Key quote: 'If Incarnate Word wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Northwestern St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates an impossible resolution state where the market cannot differentiate between the two teams.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.