TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 11:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a college men's soccer match between two teams, determining whether one team wins outright or if the game ends in a tie within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
The event determines the winner of a NCAA Mens Soccer game between Incarnate Word Cardinals and Jacksonville Dolphins scheduled for August 23, 2026. If either team wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the game concludes in a tie within that timeframe, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price as per the rules. Extra time and penalty kicks do not affect the outcome of these markets.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders on Kalshi may price in factors beyond win probability, such as team momentum or injury updates, leading to variations. The market’s chance percentage can therefore sit above or below sportsbook implied probabilities, offering a distinct view of expected outcomes. This difference allows participants to compare crowd-sourced forecasts with established sportsbook lines, identifying potential mispricings or shifts in market perception over time.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through trader submissions, where participants set bids and asks based on their views of the contest. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate of these submissions, showing the most likely result according to market participants. Volume of $3,013 indicates liquidity, while the chance percentage offers a direct view of implied probability from active trading.
This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game conclusion, and the market settles based on the final score or declared winner at that time.
In the coming weeks, key signals like player injuries, coaching changes, or performance trends could strongly influence this market. As the teams face each other in upcoming games, results and statistics will shape trader expectations. News about star player availability or sudden strategic shifts may cause rapid adjustments. The overall season trajectory—including win-loss records and playoff implications—will also affect odds. Traders on Kalshi will react to any data that alters the perceived likelihood of the final outcome, especially as Aug 24, 2026 approaches.