TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 12:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the outcome of a specific Rainbow Six Siege match between Imperial Esports and Team Liquid, scheduled for September 6, 2026. The result depends on which team secures a victory in their respective regional league stage. If either team wins their league stage, the corresponding market will resolve positively.
The market resolves based on the performance of each team in the South America League Stage 2 2026. If Imperial Esports wins their league stage, the market resolves to Yes for the Imperial Esports outcome. Conversely, if Team Liquid wins their league stage, the market resolves to Yes for the Team Liquid outcome. If the scheduled match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any action, the market resolves to the fair market price. If play commences and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi disclaims any formal association with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. If many individuals believe Imperial Esports will win, the price for that outcome on Kalshi might be lower (implying a higher probability) than at a sportsbook. However, sharp bettors and informed traders can influence this market, potentially aligning it with or diverging from sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for Imperial Esports to win, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, meaning the odds are a collective assessment of all participants, rather than a fixed calculation determined by a single entity. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Imperial Esports vs. Team Liquid match, as determined by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or changes in team rosters would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about strategic shifts or gameplay adjustments could also move the market. Furthermore, the performance of both teams in preceding matches, or even during warm-up sessions, can influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related esports events could create broader shifts in confidence, affecting how traders assess the probabilities in this particular matchup.