TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a competitive Rainbow Six Siege match between two professional esports teams scheduled for September 27, 2026. The result depends entirely on which team secures a victory in their league stage match. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will adjust the resolution based on fairness guidelines.
The event resolves based on the result of the South America League Stage 2 2026 Rainbow Six Siege match between Imperial Esports and Black Dragons e-Sports, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026, at 2:30 PM EDT. If Imperial Esports wins the match, the market for Imperial Esports resolves to Yes, and the market for Black Dragons e-Sports resolves to No. Conversely, if Black Dragons e-Sports wins the match, the market for Black Dragons e-Sports resolves to Yes, and the market for Imperial Esports resolves to No. If the match is postponed and does not commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, is cancelled before play begins, or is forfeited prior to any gameplay, all markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match begins but is later forfeited, the markets resolve according to the official result declared by the governing league or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches, but divergences can present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Imperial Esports vs. Black Dragons match, as reported by the governing body of the competition. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution. It's important to monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding player form, team strategies, or any unexpected roster changes for either Imperial Esports or Black Dragons could significantly shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches leading up to this event might also impact perceptions of team strength. Furthermore, any official announcements about the match schedule or venue could introduce volatility. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could also signal a shift in expectations and drive price movements in this market.