TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 8:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Imortal DC and Tondela, focusing solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win during regulation time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends entirely on the match's official result as defined by the league.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Imortal DC vs Tondela professional Taca de Portugal soccer match scheduled for September 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: Imortal DC win, Tondela win, or a tie—all determined exclusively within regulation time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can incorporate a wider range of factors and react more quickly to breaking news or shifts in sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each outcome of the Imortal DC vs Tondela match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Imortal DC vs Tondela match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be based on the regulation time moneyline – meaning any goals scored during extra time or a penalty shootout will not be considered. The result will be determined by the official match report, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Imortal DC or Tondela would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also sway traders' opinions. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team dynamics could also move the market. Furthermore, public sentiment and any shifts in expert analysis regarding the teams’ chances of winning could all contribute to price fluctuations before Sep 19, 2026.