TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 8:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Imortal DC and Tondela in the Round 2 of the Taca de Portugal. The result determines which team progresses in the tournament. The resolution depends solely on which team advances from this specific match.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the soccer match between Imortal DC and Tondela in Round 2 of the Taca de Portugal. If Imortal DC advances past Tondela, the 'Imortal DC advances' outcome settles as Yes. Conversely, if Tondela advances past Imortal DC, the 'Tondela advances' outcome settles as Yes. All references to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are for descriptive purposes only and do not imply endorsement or affiliation with FIFA or Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information, analysis, and their own predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Imortal DC vs Tondela match, as determined by the governing soccer league. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Imortal DC or Tondela would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match, or even changes in coaching strategies, could all influence the perceived probabilities. Major announcements related to the league standings or playoff implications could also move this market as traders reassess the potential outcomes.