TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 11:57 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Taca de Portugal game between Imortal DC and CD Tondela, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Imortal DC vs. CD Tondela match originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Taca de Portugal game between Imortal DC and CD Tondela, scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Imortal DC vs. CD Tondela match originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market aggregates insights from individuals with varying levels of expertise. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly when public perception diverges from expert analysis. Examining these differences can reveal where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the probability of certain outcomes in the Imortal DC vs. CD Tondela match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each exact score outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular result, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately assess probabilities, as profitable trading relies on correctly predicting the event's outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Imortal DC vs. CD Tondela match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer authorities. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified score. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available data and does not involve any subjective interpretation or external judgment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Imortal DC or CD Tondela would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Unexpected announcements about key personnel or shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can all contribute to price movements in this market before Sep 20, 2026.