TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 5:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Mihai "iM" Ivan’s HLTV Rating 3.0 for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is 1.10 or higher, as shown on HLTV.org player statistics for this event after Stage 3 concludes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is currently scheduled for June 11–15, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV iM’s stats for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3: https://www.hltv.org/stats/teams/players/4608/natus-vincere?event=8301 If the HLTV player stats for this event are not available by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation/postponement.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Mihai "iM" Ivan’s HLTV Rating 3.0 for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is 1.10 or higher, as shown on HLTV.org player statistics for this event after Stage 3 concludes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is currently scheduled for June 11–15, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV iM’s stats for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3: https://www.hltv.org/stats/teams/players/4608/natus-vincere?event=8301 If the HLTV player stats for this event are not available by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation/postponement.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds serve different purposes and operate under distinct regulatory frameworks. Sportsbooks are licensed betting venues that set fixed odds and manage risk through traditional bookmaking. Prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery, where participants buy and sell shares based on their own assessments. Prediction markets often reflect longer-term, broader consensus and can be more responsive to emerging information. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional oddsmakers and distributed trader networks converge on similar probabilities for the same outcome.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks to buy or sell shares representing the outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the marginal probability that iM finishes Stage 3 with a rating of 1.10 or higher. As new trades execute, the market price adjusts in real time based on supply and demand. Traders can enter limit orders to specify their desired price, or execute market orders for immediate fills. This continuous price-discovery process ensures the market reflects current participant expectations at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, once the outcome is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether iM's final Stage 3 rating meets or exceeds 1.10. Traders should monitor official announcements and verified reporting as the event approaches to understand how the outcome will be confirmed. Once the rating is publicly established and confirmed, the market will settle accordingly, with winning shares paid out at full value and losing shares expiring worthless.
Several factors could shift market prices before resolution. Official updates on iM's performance during Stage 3 will likely trigger significant moves, as traders reassess the probability of achieving a 1.10 rating or higher. Interim results, performance metrics, or commentary from organizers could provide new information that changes expectations. Broader context around competitive conditions or iM's trajectory may also influence sentiment. As Jun 15, 2026 approaches, final confirmations and last-minute developments typically drive increased trading activity and price volatility as participants lock in their positions.