TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 5:43 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Mihai "iM" Ivan finishes IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 with the highest HLTV Rating 3.0 among all NAVI players, as shown on HLTV.org’s player stats for NAVI at this event. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If iM is tied for the highest HLTV Rating 3.0 with any other NAVI player, this market will resolve to "NO." The rating comparison will use the final event ratings after NAVI have completed their participation in IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3. IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is currently scheduled for June 11–15, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV NAVI player stats for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3: https://www.hltv.org/stats/teams/players/4608/natus-vincere?event=8301 If the HLTV.org player stats for this event are not available by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on the latest HLTV.org player stats available at the time of cancellation or postponement.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Mihai "iM" Ivan finishes IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 with the highest HLTV Rating 3.0 among all NAVI players, as shown on HLTV.org’s player stats for NAVI at this event. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If iM is tied for the highest HLTV Rating 3.0 with any other NAVI player, this market will resolve to "NO." The rating comparison will use the final event ratings after NAVI have completed their participation in IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3. IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is currently scheduled for June 11–15, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV NAVI player stats for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3: https://www.hltv.org/stats/teams/players/4608/natus-vincere?event=8301 If the HLTV.org player stats for this event are not available by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 3 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on the latest HLTV.org player stats available at the time of cancellation or postponement.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks operate under different models. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and risk management, while prediction markets derive odds from real-time trader consensus—essentially crowdsourced probability estimates. This market aggregates the collective judgment of traders betting their own capital on whether iM finishes as NAVI's highest-rated player. Prediction market odds often reflect sharper, more dynamic information than sportsbook lines because traders continuously adjust positions based on live performance data and emerging information.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing the outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share reflects the market's current probability estimate, and prices adjust in real time as new trades occur. The cost to buy a share rises as more traders bet on iM finishing as the highest-rated NAVI player, and falls if traders exit positions. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to new information about player performance and team dynamics.
This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, once Stage 3 concludes and final performance ratings are available. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources reporting on NAVI player statistics and official rating data. Resolution hinges on whether iM finishes the stage with the highest individual rating among all NAVI roster members. Once the event is confirmed through reliable reporting, the market will settle and traders will receive payouts based on their positions.
Several factors could shift odds significantly before Jun 15, 2026. Strong individual performances by iM—high kill-death ratios, crucial clutch plays, or standout map performances—would strengthen his case for top rating and likely push odds higher. Conversely, underperformance or injuries could weaken his position. Emergence of other NAVI players with exceptional stats could reduce his probability of finishing highest-rated. Team roster changes, coaching adjustments, and opponent strength also influence individual rating outcomes. Real-time match results and stat updates will be the primary drivers of market repricing.