TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 5:02 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Ilves Tampere and UMF Stjarnan, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Ilves Tampere and UMF Stjarnan, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Ilves Tampere vs. UMF Stjarnan match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through real-money stakes. For this match, comparing the exact score odds on Polymarket to sportsbook offerings can reveal where the crowd's probability estimates differ from bookmaker pricing. These gaps sometimes highlight undervalued or overvalued outcomes, though both sources aim to reflect underlying match probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously as traders buy and sell shares tied to each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into a particular scoreline, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This mechanism ensures that prices reflect real-time trader conviction. Participants can enter or exit positions at any time before the match concludes, and the final price at resolution determines payouts for correct predictions.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the Ilves Tampere versus Stjarnan match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular time; traders who predicted the correct final score receive their payout. Early resolution is not typical unless the match is officially abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window, in which case the platform will communicate any adjustments to participants.
Key catalysts that could shift odds in this market include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes. Weather conditions on match day, recent form streaks, and head-to-head history may also influence trader positioning. As kickoff approaches, late money often flows toward outcomes perceived as underpriced. Live updates during the match itself—early goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments—will drive sharp repricing. Traders monitoring these signals can identify opportunities to adjust their positions before the final whistle.