TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Ilves Tampere and FC Déifferdeng 03, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Ilves Tampere vs. FC Déifferdeng 03 match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Ilves Tampere and FC Déifferdeng 03, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Ilves Tampere vs. FC Déifferdeng 03 match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For this matchup, comparing Polymarket's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd's consensus differs from professional oddsmakers. Prediction markets sometimes offer sharper pricing on niche outcomes like exact scores, where sportsbooks may offer limited liquidity or wider margins.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell pressure for each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into a particular scoreline, the higher its price rises; conversely, selling pressure lowers it. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest information and trader sentiment. Liquidity depth varies by outcome, so less-likely scores may have wider bid-ask spreads than heavily traded results.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the Ilves Tampere versus FC Déifferdeng match concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals each team scores during regulation time. Traders holding shares in the correct final score receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records.
Key catalysts for this market include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form trends for both Ilves Tampere and FC Déifferdeng. Weather conditions on match day, home-field advantage, and head-to-head historical scoring patterns can all shift trader expectations. Major betting syndicates or sharp money entering the market may signal new information, causing rapid repricing of certain scorelines. As match day approaches, odds typically tighten around the most probable outcomes while long-shot scores become cheaper.