TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 3:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the game.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for each team in the Illinois vs Ohio St. college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For any market, if the specified team scores above the stated threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds listed.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely team totals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available closer to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately assess the likelihood of each team’s total, leading to a market price that aggregates diverse perspectives and information. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new developments and insights.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Illinois and Ohio State will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the contract values traded on Kalshi. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning contracts, reflecting the actual results of the game. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on the platform following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Illinois or Ohio State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also shift the odds. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could contribute to fluctuations in volume and price as the game approaches.