TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 12:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Illinois and Ohio State. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if neither team manages to score a touchdown at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The market determines the outcome based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Illinois vs Ohio State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. All types of touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams plays—are counted. If the first touchdown occurs in overtime, the respective team's market resolves to Yes. Should neither team score a touchdown during the entire game, including overtime, the 'No team scores a TD' market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original schedule time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to score first, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially diverging from those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets provide more accurate probabilities, especially as event time nears, as they aggregate diverse perspectives.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, following the completion of the Illinois vs Ohio State football game. The outcome will be determined by which team is officially recorded as scoring the first touchdown, as verified against credible public reporting from official sports sources. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures for verifying event outcomes. The final price will reflect the probability of the winning team scoring first.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding key player injuries on either the Illinois or Ohio State team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s offensive style, could also move the market. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can influence traders’ decisions and cause price fluctuations. Any late-breaking news or developments related to the game could trigger substantial movement before Sep 26, 2026.