TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
The Illinois versus Ohio State college football game will be evaluated based on whether either team's defensive or special teams players find the end zone for a touchdown. The resolution considers all regulation time and any overtime periods where such scoring plays might occur.
If Illinois and Ohio St. collectively record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Illinois vs Ohio St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action, while this market represents a direct assessment of probability by individuals trading on Kalshi. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insight into where the crowd believes the true probability lies compared to traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the likelihood of a defensive or special teams touchdown in the Illinois vs Ohio State game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a probability percentage. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in the outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those participating.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, resolution will depend on whether a defensive or special teams touchdown is scored during the Illinois vs Ohio State game. The final result will be determined by official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the resolved outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 26, 2026. Key injuries to offensive players on either team could increase the likelihood of turnovers and defensive scoring opportunities. Weather conditions, such as heavy rain or wind, might favor a more conservative offensive approach, potentially leading to more punts and special teams plays. Significant news regarding coaching strategies or defensive schemes could also impact trader sentiment and move the market. Any unexpected developments related to team performance or game dynamics are likely to cause price fluctuations.