TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 3:44 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the second half of a college football game between Illinois and Ohio State. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that must be exceeded for the market to resolve positively. The outcomes depend solely on the points scored after halftime, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams in the second half (including overtime) of the Illinois vs Ohio State college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined second-half points exceed the stated threshold (e.g., 2.5, 6.5, 9.5 points, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For all markets, only points scored after halftime count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, trading remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals making real-money predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can stem from varying levels of information access, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual result. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what the market believes is the likelihood of the second half total being over or under the specified line.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second half of the Illinois vs Ohio State game will be used to determine whether the total points scored are over or under the market’s specified line. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available shortly after the game concludes. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in this market, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game ends. Key injuries to star players on either team would likely have a significant impact, as they could alter the expected scoring dynamics. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the game's pace and scoring. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or player matchups could also shift trader sentiment. Even public perception and media coverage can play a role, influencing the collective beliefs reflected in the market’s price.