TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa?

Volume:
$425,744

Northern Iowa

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 9:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Northern Iowa

View
100%
91%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$208,629
N/A
N/A
$126,393
Settled
Yes
predict

Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$1,061
$249
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa

0%
90%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Illinois St.

0%
90%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$198,306
N/A
N/A
$138,127
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 59.5

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,353
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 57.5

0%
77%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
94%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 49.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 51.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 53.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 61.5

0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2H Moneyline

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 24

Description

This group covers various markets related to the college football game between Illinois State and Northern Iowa, scheduled for September 26th. Markets include predicting the winner, the point spread, and the over/under total score. The markets are based on the outcome of the game, including overtime, with provisions for postponement or cancellation.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers multiple spread markets and an over/under market, while Kalshi only offers a simple moneyline market. This creates a divergence in the granularity of available markets and potential trading strategies.Hero tip: If you believe Illinois State will win by a significant margin, focus on the Polymarket spread markets. If you simply believe Illinois State will win, the Kalshi market is sufficient. Consider the over/under market on Polymarket if you have a strong opinion on the total score.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers multiple spread markets (e.g., Illinois State -14.5, Northern Iowa -14.5) and an over/under market. Resolves based on final score and spread coverage or total points scored. If the game is canceled, resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Offers a single moneyline market. Resolves to 'Yes' if either Illinois State or Northern Iowa wins the game. If the game is canceled, resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Illinois State and Northern Iowa, scheduled for September 26 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Illinois State" if Illinois State win the game. This market will resolve to "Northern Iowa" if Northern Iowa win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Illinois St. versus Northern Iowa college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming college football game between Illinois State and Northern Iowa, scheduled for September 26 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Illinois State" if Illinois State win the game. This market will resolve to "Northern Iowa" if Northern Iowa win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks, as they aggregate the opinions of many informed traders who have skin in the game. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and profit, while this market incentivizes participants to predict the most likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, market efficiency, and the motivations of participants. However, significant differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders profit from the price gap between the two types of markets.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by directly bidding on the outcome of the Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa game, while Kalshi uses a different mechanism. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. These differing mechanisms, along with variations in user base and trading activity, can lead to price discrepancies. Furthermore, each platform may attract different types of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information. The volume traded on each platform also influences price discovery; a market with higher volume tends to have more efficient pricing.